Will the IMF Survive to 100?

Vol. 45 No. 2 (2025)

Apr-Jun / 2025
Published March 28, 2025
PDF-English
PDF-English

How to Cite

Jr., Paulo Nogueira Batista, and Robert H. Wade. 2025. “Will the IMF Survive to 100?”. Brazilian Journal of Political Economy 45 (2):253-61. https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-31572025-3742.

Will the IMF Survive to 100?

Paulo Nogueira Batista Jr.
Economist, he was professor and researcher at the Getulio Vargas Foundation in Rio de Janeiro and São Paulo, São Paulo/SP, Brazil. He was also executive director at the International Monetary Fund in Washington.
Robert H. Wade
Professor of Global Political Economy, London School of Economics, London WC2A, United Kingdom.
Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 45 No. 2 (2025), Apr-Jun / 2025, Pages 253-261

Abstract

After almost 80 years of the IMF’s existence, the distribution of influence in key
decisions is still much as it was at the organization’s founding in 1945, during the era of
Western colonialism – still mostly in the hands of a small set of high-income nation. It is as
though the emerging “multipolarity” of the world order had not taken place. This essay sets
out the imbalance between the relative “weight” of a country (or set of countries) in the
world economy and the relative weight in Fund governance. After explaining the quota system and other determinants of influence (including occupancy of positions) and the history
of failed attempts to change the distribution of influence, the essay outlines several measures
of incremental reform which would not challenge the US, European, and Japanese grip on
institution but still improve the way it works in practice and also benefit the smaller and
poorer member countries in particular. However, without more radical shifts in the distribution
of influence, the answer to our title question is, probably not.

JEL Classification: F00; F02; F30; F33.


Keywords: International organizations reform of the global financial architecture International Monetary Fund high income countries emerging market and developing countries