Productivity, investment and capital flow: the failure of growth with foreign savings in Brazil

Vol. 42 No. 3 (2022)

Jul-Sep / 2022
Published August 17, 2022
PDF-Portuguese (Português (Brasil))
PDF-Portuguese (Português (Brasil))

How to Cite

Lamonica, Marcos Tostes, and Sergiany da Silva Lima. 2022. “Productivity, Investment and Capital Flow: The Failure of Growth With Foreign Savings in Brazil”. Brazilian Journal of Political Economy 42 (3):572-91. https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-31572022-3150.

Productivity, investment and capital flow: the failure of growth with foreign savings in Brazil

Marcos Tostes Lamonica
Professor de Macroeconomia do Instituto de Ciências da Sociedade e Desenvolvimento Regional da Universidade Federal Fluminense-UFF.
Sergiany da Silva Lima
Professor de Economia da Unidade Acadêmica de Serra Talhada-UAST da Universidade Federal Rural do Pernambuco – UFRPe.
Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 42 No. 3 (2022), Jul-Sep / 2022, Pages 572-591

Abstract

This work analyzes productivity and the hypothesis that capital flow does not
influence investment in the Brazilian economy. To do so, we present a productivity equation
conditioned on the rates of: investments, wage costs, and external demand. The relationship
between productivity and investment and wage rates suggests a possible simultaneity, given
the distributive nature of aggregate income between capital and labor. Therefore, estimators
that treat endogeneity in two stages are used: the Two-Stage Least Squares (MQ2E) and the
Generalized Least Moments (MMG), to increase the robustness of the results. We find that
the investment rate explains productivity, but capital flow does not determine productive investment. In addition, Brazilian investment is more susceptible to the parameters of
marginal capital efficiency, whose fall has affected Brazilian productivity since the 1980s.

JEL Classification: O11; O16; 047.


Keywords: Productivity investment rate capital flow