Inflation persistence and new Keynesian Phillips curves for Brazil

Vol. 30 No. 2 (2010)

Apr-Jun / 2010
Published April 1, 2010
PDF-Portuguese (Português (Brasil))
PDF-Portuguese (Português (Brasil))

How to Cite

Fonseca Neto, Fernando de Aquino. 2010. “Inflation Persistence and New Keynesian Phillips Curves for Brazil”. Brazilian Journal of Political Economy 30 (2):310-28. https://centrodeeconomiapolitica.org/repojs/index.php/journal/article/view/444.

Inflation persistence and new Keynesian Phillips curves for Brazil

Fernando de Aquino Fonseca Neto
Banco Central do Brasil
Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 30 No. 2 (2010), Apr-Jun / 2010, Pages 310-328

Abstract

In this paper is shown that sustainable inflation persistence has theoretical support not only due price indexation, but also because of micro-foundations based on assumptions of Simon’s bounded rationality and because of persistent mark-up shocks. the new keynesian phillips curve, estimated for brazil for the period 2000/2008, and the partial coefficients of determination for moving sub-periods of 36 months identifies inflation persistence as the main determinant of inflation, with the capacity gap presenting larger importance only in the end of the sample period. Inflation persistence requires harder monetary policy when neither accommodation is acceptable nor complementary policies in order to reduce it, such as the minimization of indexation mechanisms and control of the market power, are adopted.

JEL Classification: E31; D82; D84; E12.


Keywords: inflation persistence bounded rationality market power expectations Phillips curves